[Zurück]

G. Tragler, J. P. Caulkins:
"A dynamic model of drug supply and demand";
Vortrag: 23rd European Conference on Operational Research (EURO XXIII), Bonn (eingeladen); 05.07.2009 - 08.07.2009.

Illicit drug consumption imposes enormous health care costs to societies
all around the globe. For many years OR has already set a
focus on the management of drug epidemics, but so far, the supply
and demand of drugs has hardly been analysed in a joint study. Here
we present a dynamic model of both the supply and the demand of
drugs with the main objective of minimizing the social costs that
arise from drug use. In mathematical terms, we present a system of
ODEs with three state variables representing the number of susceptibles,
the number of users, and the throughput capacity of supply.