[Zurück]

M. Bicher, B. Glock, F. Miksch, N. Popper, G. Schneckenreither:
"Definition, Validation and Comparison of Two Population Models for Austria";
in: "International Conference on Business, Technology and Innovation ICBTI 2015", 1; E. Hajrizi (Hrg.); herausgegeben von: University of Business and Technology, Pristina; Proceedings of the IFAC 2011, Durres, Albanien, 2015, ISBN: 978-9951-437-36-3, S. 52 - 53.

In this work we present two structurally different mathematical models for the prognostic simulation of Austria´s population: A time-continuous, macroscopic system dynamics approach and a time-discrete, microscopic agent-based approach. Both models were developed as case studies of a series of population concepts in order to support models for decision-support in Austria´s health care system. In the present work we want to focus on the definition, the parametrisation as well as especially the validation process of both population-models. The latter was of special interest as it included a cross-model validation with Statistics Austria´s own prognostic model SIKURS.

http://publik.tuwien.ac.at/files/PubDat_245653.pdf