[Zurück]

S. Iqbal, S. Sardar, F. Khalid, O. Hasan:
"Statistical Model Checking of Relief Supply Location and Distribution in Natural Disaster Management";
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 31 (2018), October 2018; S. 1043 - 1053.

Examining the efficacy of natural disaster management readiness and response activities is challenging due to the involvement of many
random and uncertain components. These uncertainties can be captured
by stochastic models. The analysis of these models is carried out using
Monte Carlo simulations to judge the effectiveness of natural disaster
management solutions. However, this approach uses static estimators,
which generally rely on sampled number of events taken from the random space. The safety-critical nature of disaster management requires
a more quantifiable analysis. In order to overcome this challenge, we
propose to use statistical model checking for relief supply location and
distribution in natural disaster management. For illustration purposes,
we use the PRISM model checker to model and analyze a real-world scenario of relief supply location and distribution while considering some key
factors, like demand of medical supplies at hospitals, predestined routes
from warehouses to hospitals, capacity of warehouses and transportation
plans.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.04.010