Talks and Poster Presentations (with Proceedings-Entry):
M. Zauner, M. Killian, M. Kozek:
"Localized Online Weather Predictions with Overnight Adaption";
Talk: ITISE 2018,
Granada, Spain;
2018-09-19
- 2018-09-21; in: "International conference on Time Series and Forecasting",
M. Zauner (ed.);
Proceedings of Papers ITISE 2018,
Volume 1
(2018),
ISBN: 978-84-17293-57-4;
250
- 259.
English abstract:
This paper describes an approach to online forecasting of ambient temperature and solar irradiation. The proposed method creates a localized prediction with an improvement over the available weather predictions ranging from 52% to 92% in ambient temperature
forecast and 8% to 42% for solar irradiation forecast. This localized forecast can be used for improved predictions in smart homes or PV power plants for a more efficient operation. A new method for adapting the parameters of the autoregressive model with external input (ARX) for the solar irradiation over the night is proposed. This allows the model to be tuned to changing weather conditions without relying on external inputs.
Keywords:
weather prediction, local optimization, parametric model
Electronic version of the publication:
https://publik.tuwien.ac.at/files/publik_271044.pdf
Created from the Publication Database of the Vienna University of Technology.